Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.351603e-03 0.001516 0.001683 0.001863 0.002053 0.002245 0.002455
2025-01-26 1.078528e-03 0.001312 0.001558 0.001832 0.002127 0.002435 0.002778
2025-02-02 8.671732e-04 0.001149 0.001455 0.001807 0.002196 0.002609 0.003078
2025-02-09 7.590276e-04 0.001086 0.001452 0.001883 0.002369 0.002894 0.003495
2025-02-16 6.271563e-04 0.000981 0.001391 0.001887 0.002457 0.003080 0.003804
2025-02-23 4.763113e-04 0.000836 0.001272 0.001814 0.002450 0.003157 0.003987
2025-03-02 3.566361e-04 0.000714 0.001170 0.001752 0.002449 0.003234 0.004167
2025-03-09 2.632055e-04 0.000614 0.001084 0.001702 0.002456 0.003316 0.004349
2025-03-16 1.961293e-04 0.000540 0.001024 0.001678 0.002490 0.003427 0.004560
2025-03-23 1.684399e-04 0.000521 0.001035 0.001742 0.002628 0.003657 0.004907
2025-03-30 1.300925e-04 0.000477 0.001008 0.001755 0.002701 0.003809 0.005164
2025-04-06 9.383256e-05 0.000429 0.000970 0.001749 0.002749 0.003931 0.005383
2025-04-13 4.392641e-05 0.000342 0.000882 0.001692 0.002758 0.004034 0.005617
2025-04-20 1.646731e-05 0.000281 0.000826 0.001678 0.002819 0.004203 0.005933
2025-04-27 2.259180e-06 0.000228 0.000774 0.001664 0.002882 0.004373 0.006253
2025-05-04 3.580094e-08 0.000214 0.000787 0.001745 0.003067 0.004695 0.006755
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000177 0.000754 0.001753 0.003157 0.004901 0.007118
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000123 0.000673 0.001686 0.003142 0.004975 0.007323
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000081 0.000603 0.001628 0.003136 0.005056 0.007535
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000050 0.000544 0.001581 0.003141 0.005150 0.007761
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000031 0.000503 0.001559 0.003179 0.005284 0.008033
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000027 0.000511 0.001621 0.003335 0.005568 0.008489
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000017 0.000492 0.001633 0.003419 0.005759 0.008832